Blackjack Probabilities


blackjack-tableBlackjack strategy, when used right, can make blackjack one of the most lucrative games in a casino. Blackjack rules are based on statistical probability that over the years math nerds and statisticians have exploited to make a profit from the blackjack game. Probabilities and odds are a huge part of blackjack, so if anybody wants to win money at the casino, they have to understand the games probabilities.

Blackjack Probabilities and Odds

Blackjack card counting and mathematics strategies gives the player an informed opinion based on data on what move to make next. Rather than just relying on a random gamble, blackjack strategy uses probability and odds to tell an individual the right moves to make in order to beat the casino. Overall, blackjack strategies tips have statistical mathematics to back them up.

Mathematics in blackjack is pretty straightforward, since each card in the deck has its own point value and there is a clear definition between a loser and a winner. By applying mathematics, blackjack experts know the odds from the different types of blackjack hands. For example, the chance of drawing a naturally 21, and winning the game immediately, is 4.8 percent. If somebody chooses to play 100 hands of blackjack, they will be only dealt a natural blackjack 5 times.

While this makes blackjack sound like a hard time, it is really not if an individual applies statistical probabilities the right way. The same odds show that the most common hand in blackjack is the decision hand which is any point total between 1 and 16. These type of hands are only dealt 38.7 percent of the time, so out of every 100 hands, a person will only have to make a decision about 40 times.

Anybody who uses a basic blackjack strategy and makes the right plays can minimize the house edge. Individual players can also gain the advantage by combining the two statistics of dealer bust probability and the player edge against the casino. For each up card the dealer has, mathematicians have figured out the probability of drawing a bust. For example, if the dealer has an up card valued at 2, the overall bust probability is 38 percent. By factoring in the player’s advantage, a person can get a good look if they can beat the casino.

Anybody who uses blackjack strategies in the proper manner can gain an advantage against the casino and make money.